Why Should Iran Listen?
There is no reason for Iran to pay any heed to the United Nations sanctions or threats of future sanctions. Even if legitimate sanctions were levied, there would be the normal gaggle of bureaucrats that would undermine them as they did with Iraq. The only way to halt Iran's nuclear development is to destroy it now. Talk is cheap and works to the advantage of the Iranians. The Mullahs are soaking all of this in and getting a good laugh out of it.
Iran has enough allies, both strategically and economically, to divert any major impact of economic sanctions on them. They also are holding the rest of the region hostage with their potential nuclear capabilities. Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Egypt, and the others are already realizing that the West is going to do nothing and that China and Russia are going to be benefactors of Iranian development. They are going to have to choose sides soon. The longer they wait the less likely they can get away with minor apologies to Mahmoud.
Iran may be playing a game. They may be bluffing the whole world as to their present abilities. They may actually only intend to use the power to run it's cities. The problem is do we trust them? The answer is a resounding no. They have continuously clamored their disdain for the West, especially America, and Israel. When the opportunity comes to develop a nuclear weapon they will do it. Five years ago the world said that Iran was five years away from having the ability to go nuclear. That five years has come and gone pretty quick. Now experts with minimal information are saying that Iran is 5-10 years away from having a nuclear weapon building capability. If this is true, the next five years will go just as fast. Based on the track record of these experts, I wouldn't doubt that Iran is more like 1-2 years away from a nuclear weapon. Also, who says they can't get what they need from their buddy Kim Jong-il?
Things don't look good for the home team. Russia is again on the other side. China is sitting back watching us go into convulsions about what to do. The European Union will end up appeasing as always. Ehud Olmert is as lost with this as he was with Hizbollah. Iran has no reason to pay any mind to what the "world" wants. It's like a kid whose parent continually threaten rebukes and do nothing. The Mullah's and Ahmadinejad know exactly what they are doing. We are living down to their expectations.
Originally posted at Bigasrants.townhall.com
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Iran has enough allies, both strategically and economically, to divert any major impact of economic sanctions on them. They also are holding the rest of the region hostage with their potential nuclear capabilities. Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Egypt, and the others are already realizing that the West is going to do nothing and that China and Russia are going to be benefactors of Iranian development. They are going to have to choose sides soon. The longer they wait the less likely they can get away with minor apologies to Mahmoud.
Iran may be playing a game. They may be bluffing the whole world as to their present abilities. They may actually only intend to use the power to run it's cities. The problem is do we trust them? The answer is a resounding no. They have continuously clamored their disdain for the West, especially America, and Israel. When the opportunity comes to develop a nuclear weapon they will do it. Five years ago the world said that Iran was five years away from having the ability to go nuclear. That five years has come and gone pretty quick. Now experts with minimal information are saying that Iran is 5-10 years away from having a nuclear weapon building capability. If this is true, the next five years will go just as fast. Based on the track record of these experts, I wouldn't doubt that Iran is more like 1-2 years away from a nuclear weapon. Also, who says they can't get what they need from their buddy Kim Jong-il?
Things don't look good for the home team. Russia is again on the other side. China is sitting back watching us go into convulsions about what to do. The European Union will end up appeasing as always. Ehud Olmert is as lost with this as he was with Hizbollah. Iran has no reason to pay any mind to what the "world" wants. It's like a kid whose parent continually threaten rebukes and do nothing. The Mullah's and Ahmadinejad know exactly what they are doing. We are living down to their expectations.
Originally posted at Bigasrants.townhall.com
Labels: China, Iran, Israel, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Russia
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Kim Jong Il is playing with his nuclear missiles again while his country starves. He's making a lot of people very nervous.
